Follow the dividend investment decisions of a person who has no background in financial investment and wishes to take control of their financial future.

Weekly Portfolio Summary - 08 Dec 2018 14:23

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Portfolio Activity

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Portfolio News - (In Case You Missed These Headlines)

Analog Devices (ADI)

Chatham Lodging (CLDT)

Newell Brands (NWL)

PepsiCo (PEP)

Sabra Health Care (SBRA)

W.P. Carey (WPC)

Interesting Blog Posts or Articles

Not a lot of articles this week as most folks were busy posting their monthly results. For a summary of monthly dividend income checkout the well maintained page at our fellow blogger’s site Dividend Driven - Comments: 0

New Buy R - 06 Dec 2018 23:29

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It feels like forever since I last bought a stock but today ended that drought as I started a small position in Ryder System (R) at $52.55/share and a 4.11% annual dividend that will increase my annual dividend income by $43.

Ryder has 15 year dividend growth history and a 13 year inflation beat record and a 10 year dividend growth rate of 8.76% with its most recent 3.85% increase announced back in July. It currently has a forward PE of 8 and is lower than FedEx at 10 and UPS at 13.

Over the last 10 years Ryder has been aggressively investing in growth through acquisitions, technology investments, and process improvement. Their recent acquisition of MXD Group last spring folded a new "Last Mile" delivery service into their portfolio. What makes their last mile delivery service unique from other delivery services like the USPS, UPS or FedEx is that they are focused on bulky deliveries (furniture, appliances and electronics) and something referred to as over threshold services where they bring the product into a customer's home and have the ability to assemble or install the product. This is a great bolt on acquisition that continues on their vision to provide efficient outsourcing to businesses. Delivery and installation of bulky items is so fragmented with small delivery companies and is ripe for consolidation. If Ryder plays this right it may drive future growth through new customers like Home Depot and Lowes.

I have been watching Ryder for the last 3 months hoping to have the opportunity to buy near their 52 week low of $51 and today it was close enough. With potential interest rates and Ryder's considerable debt loads there may be opportunities to buy at a lower price and if that happens I'll increase my position but one of the reasons I limited the buy to small position. - Comments: 0

November Dividend Income - 01 Dec 2018 12:32

Tags: monthly_income

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After 31 years of clocking in and out of work and religiously saving 10% annually every year, in good times and bad, I have decided to share my monthly dividend income to show what regular saving and investing can accomplish.

This Month I made $2,132 and was a bit surprised as I did not expect to break the $2K barrier this month but I forgot about my Fastenal (FAST), Chatham Lodging (CLDT) and Sabra Heath Care (SBRA) purchases which, combined with dividend reinvestment, moved the monthly income across the line. This is my third month of tracking so from here on forward I can start tracking a quarter over quarter growth rate.

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A little over a week ago I created a 3 year goal metric and here is the first monthly update. My percent complete only increased 0.05%. Pretty disappointing but it was only just 9 days ago that I created it and can’t read too much into it. On the positive side, after just a week without contributing any new investment money it did grow on its own so something to take pride in.

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On the expense front I have kept my credit card debt down to zero. But, it is that time of year as I received two college tuition bills in the mail and yes I have two kids in college with a third just 1 ½ years away. The first tuition bill is from my oldest and she will be taking out her very first student loan to pay so the burden is on her and not me. Luckily she graduates in Fall of 2019, with only one more semester she will have $10K in student loan debt. I actually wanted my children to assume some debt to take ownership of their decisions and $10K is pretty manageable.

The second tuition bill I have funds for and it will not impact my monthly expenses. This is something we saved towards 15 years ago so the impacts is minimal. - Comments: 2

Refining My Goals - 22 Nov 2018 12:17

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2018 is rolling up to be a nice planning year and never have I had more visibility to where I need to be to meet my goal of retiring at age 60.

The first major event was finally becoming fully invested with all of my rollovers at the end of February 2018. It took just over two years to fully invest but once I did I gained visibility into my forward annual passive dividend and how it will play into my retirement goals. In March I ran the numbers based on current expenses using an inflation rate of 3% and going out 10 years. It looked like I was on track with no issues as long as my annual dividend growth rate was 7.5%. Sounds pretty easy when you factor in dividend growth, dividend reinvestment, and added contributions of new funds. In other words, just stick to the current program and everything will be fine

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The second major event occurred by accident when I was trying to determine how much emergency cash I would need during retirement (see blog post This is 3x Worse Than a Market Crash) by analyzing how my portfolio would have done in a crash using the 2009 great recession as a data point and later a supplemental analysis of how my portfolio would perform in a long sideways trading market with high inflation using the 1970’s as a data point. What resulted was that I was off on my original goals and needed not to replace 100% of annual expenses with passive income but it needed to be 115% of annual expenses and I needed at least the equivalent of 9 months of expenses as emergency cash. Note, when I calculated passive income I am using a 20% tax rate so my pre-tax passive income is even greater. This threw me a slight curveball and suddenly it was not as an easy goal as I thought in last March. Now my modified goal requires an annual dividend growth rate of 12.5% and I need to save an additional $2,000 annually in cash for emergency money during retirement. The 12.5% growth rate might be achievable but an additional $2K may be a challenge.

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The third major event is I started to track my monthly dividend income in September. At first it was to demonstrate what a lifetime of saving and investing can achieve. Now it will become a tool to monitor my growth rate to stay on the 12.5% growth path. I cannot wait for December’s report as it will show my first quarter of quarter growth (Sept vs. Dec). I have also began setting up tracking for portfolio growth based on dividend increases, DRIP’s, and new contributions which I will start tracking in detail come January 2019. I realize most DGi investors have been tracking their income in this manor all along but the bulk of my wealth used to be tied up in mutual funds via a 401K making visualization of an income stream difficult. But that all changed when I rolled the funds into an IRA so for me it is a a new and improved metric :)

After all of this, I now have refined long term retirement goals for age 60 and annual goals for 12.5% growth & $2K cash. With this I decided to add an interim 3 year goal (by age 53) to have after-tax passive income equivalent to 57% of expenses. Using Google Sheets “Gauge” chart and here is the end product.

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Truth be told, planning for long term goals (20+ years) is not an exact science. The further we go out in time and try to predict something the greater chance of miscalculations. I have always planned on retiring at 60 but my financial goal targets for age 60 continuously changed. Now that my long term goal has turned into a mid-term goal (10 years), my ability to plan more precise financial goals is coming into play and getting me excited as I have the possibility to achieve what I have worked long and hard for. - Comments: 0

October Dividend Income - 02 Nov 2018 21:47

Tags: monthly_income

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After 31 years of clocking in and out of work and religiously saving 10% annually every year, in good times and bad, I have decided to share my monthly dividend income to show what regular saving and investing can accomplish.

This Month I made $2,901 with 88% coming from my IRA and 8% coming from my traditional brokerage account and 4% coming from my Roth.

In 2016 I had the opportunity to rollover my workplace retirement savings and jumped at the chance and is the reason why such a large percentage of the income is from my IRA.

I am still working today and have started to contribute to a new workplace 401K plan and will continue to do so for the next 9 years so this adventure is still continuing…

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A Little Victory - A Big Feel Good - 02 Nov 2018 10:49

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2 years ago I was offered a choice of cashing out my pension or begin receiving a monthly check for the rest of my life that would never increase.

When I received the final offer in the mail I was shocked at how small the amounts were after working for 29 years at the same company. The buyout was 30% less than I had hoped for and the monthly check option of $1,000 summed upped annually, equated to 5.6% of the buyout balance. This didn’t exactly seem like a fantastic option and I knew I could match and eventually beat that return with just dividend & interest income. Like any good investor I ran the numbers, developed an investment strategy and back tested the strategy using Portfolio Visualizer and even did a Monte Carlo analysis. Sure enough everything I ran had a greater than 90% success rate so I decided to take the lump sum payout and invest the money in dividend growth equities, real estate, bonds, and preferred stocks.

It took 14 months to invest all the funds which was completed with my last REIT purchase at the start of February. Within this first year of investing I only received 4% dividend income. Now completing my second year I can report the yield on cost has jumped to 6.49%!

As of the end of October I have now matched the equivalent of total monthly pension payouts and any dividend increases from here on forward will exceed the originally offered monthly payout. This happened 6 months earlier than I had originally calculated and believe it was due to the larger than normal dividend increases received from the Trump tax plan. With 9 years left to go until retirement it will be awesome to see where this will go!

I am sure when my company eliminated the pension there were corporate managers patting themselves on the back and calculating how much of an annual bonus they should get for screwing their workers. Exceeding the original crappy offer payout is meaningless to them but to me it is retribution and feels like a win for the little guy.

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- Comments: 0

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